Headlines by time | 4 Jul 2026 | Location ratings

Monitor developments linked to the parliamentary election. Voting took place on 2 July to elect members of the People’s National Assembly (lower house of parliament). Heightened security measures were implemented around polling stations in the capital Algiers. No major incidents were reported. While we expect the security environment to remain broadly stable in the coming days, political rallies may take place when election results are released. Any associated gatherings should be avoided as a precaution.

Exercise caution and expect weather-related disruption in Istanbul province over the coming hours. The Istanbul Disaster Coordination Centre (AKOM) has warned of heavy rainfall on 4 July. Districts affected by adverse weather include Bakirkoy, Besiktas, Beykoz, Esenler, Eyupsultan, Fatih, Kadikoy, Kagithane, Sultangazi, Umraniye and Uskudar. Heavy rainfall may cause landslides, power outages and short-notice transport disruption. Reconfirm the status of routes prior to setting out and allow additional time to complete journeys.

Exercise caution and follow all official directives in Catalonia autonomous community over the coming hours amid wildfires. On 3 July, a wildfire broke out near La Bisbal d’Emporda and is currently uncontained. The authorities closed sections of the GI-660, GIV-6612 roads and the C-66 arterial route in both directions. According to local media, two other wildfires are also burning near Bescano and Vilademuls. Several nearby towns have been issued stay-at-home orders. Firefighting efforts are ongoing in affected areas. Further short-notice stay-at home or evacuation orders and road closures are possible.

Exercise caution and expect weather-related disruption in the coming days. The authorities have forecast heavy to very heavy rain across central and southern regions until 6 July and northern and north-eastern regions until 7 July. The interaction between the south-west monsoon and Tropical Storm Maysak near Vietnam's north-eastern border with China (see related alert) is influencing the conditions. Flash flooding and landslides are possible in low-lying, mountainous and riverine areas during periods of heavy rainfall. Adverse weather is likely to cause short-notice disruption to transport and other essential services.

Maintain flexible itineraries and expect disruption over the coming days amid the passage of Tropical Storm Maysak near southern China and north-eastern Vietnam. Maysak (known as ‘Storm No 1’ in Vietnam) made its first landfall in China near Lingshui Li Autonomous County (Hainan province) on 3 July. A second landfall is forecast along the coast between Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (China) and northern Vietnam over the coming hours. The remnants of Maysak are then forecast to track north towards northern Guangxi by 6 July while gradually dissipating. Rail and airport disruption is likely in affected areas. Abide by official directives.

Expect heightened security measures around the Senate complex in Pasay City (Metro Manila) over the coming months due to the impeachment trial of Vice-President Sara Duterte. The Senate (upper house) impeachment court will convene for the trial on 6 July. Around 6,000 security personnel will be deployed alongside active intelligence monitoring. Sections of Diokno Boulevard will be closed from 07.00 to 19.00 (local time) daily. Expect and avoid short-notice demonstrations linked to the impeachment in Metro Manila and in the Duterte stronghold of Davao City (Davao region) on trial dates.

Exercise caution and expect disruption over the coming days amid a heatwave. Some areas have recently experienced temperatures reaching 40°C (104°F) or higher, with similar conditions forecast to persist in the region. Heat warnings are in effect for several countries. Short-notice road closures, disruption to public transport and evacuation orders linked to heatwave-related fires are possible in affected areas. High temperatures may cause power outages or disruption to other essential services.

Expect localised disruption on 4 July during an anti-government demonstration in the capital Quito and plan journeys accordingly. Participants intend to gather from 18.00 (local time) at Tribuna de los Shyris. They are seeking a recall referendum to remove President Daniel Noboa and Vice-President Maria Pinto from office. While the demonstration should pass off peacefully, it is likely to disrupt nearby traffic.

Expect localised disruption in the state capital Kolkata (West Bengal state) and its environs on 4 July during a protest march by supporters of the Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M). CPI-M has announced the march to protest against the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party’s policies affecting street workers and residents of railway settlements. Participants will gather at 13.00 (local time) in Howrah and Sealdah (both West Bengal) before marching to Fairley Place in the state capital. The security forces are liable to use crowd-control measures in the event of unrest, posing incidental risks to bystanders.

Plan journeys on 4 July in Melbourne (Victoria state) accounting for disruption due to a demonstration and counter-demonstration. Activists will gather from 12.00 (local time) outside the Parliament of Victoria to oppose the Sex Discrimination Amendment bill. An opposing group has called a counter-demonstration from 11.30 at the same location. There is potential for localised scuffles involving participants, counter-protesters and the police. Bystanders would face incidental risks in the event of any such unrest.

Expect large gatherings and heightened security measures on 4-9 July during the state funeral of Iran’s former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei (in office 1989-2026). Funeral processions are planned in the capital Tehran, as well as other cities. Related events are expected to attract significant crowds, with state organisers reportedly anticipating more than 15m attendees in the capital. While events are likely to remain peaceful, there will be extensive road closures, transport disruption and other logistical impacts. There is also a latent risk of terrorist attacks. Although the security forces have generally contained militant threats, domestic groups, including Islamic State (IS), retain intent and limited capability to attack.

Plan journeys accounting for localised disruption on 4 July in the capital Bogota during a march led by LGBTQ activists. Participants will gather from 9.00 (local time) at Parque de los Giraloses before marching towards Parque Florida Blanca. While the event should pass off peacefully, it is likely to cause traffic disruption in the area.

Plan journeys on 4 July accounting for disruption on the A12 motorway in Utrecht (Utrecht province) due to a planned protest. Activists affiliated with Extinction Rebellion and a pro-Palestine group intend to block traffic along parts of the motorway from 12.00 (local time). They are demanding an end to fossil fuel subsidies, amongst other related things. There is a heightened risk of police intervention and forcible removal of demonstrators if the motorway blockade turns unruly. Any associated disturbances would pose incidental risks to bystanders.

Expect disruption in the capital Warsaw on 4 July during a march to commemorate victims of historic ethnic-based violence in Poland. Participants will gather from 14.00 (local time) at Plac Trzech Krzyzy before marching to the Tomb of the Unknown Soldiervia Charles de Gaulle roundabout. The demonstration comes amid a diplomatic dispute between Poland and Ukraine over the issue, which is likely to drive attendance at the event. The event is likely to be well attended and should pass off peacefully. Road closures and public transport diversions will be in effect along the route.

Plan journeys in Liverpool (Merseyside county) on 4 July bypassing an anti-immigration protest march and counterdemonstration. Anti-immigration protesters will gather from 12.00 (local time) near a pub on County Road in the Walton area before marching to the city centre. A counterdemonstration has reportedly been organised. It expected to follow a similar route, though exact details have yet to be confirmed. The local authorities have introduced designated protest areas and a dispersal zone, granting the police additional powers to prevent antisocial behaviour. While the police will likely enforce measures to separate the demonstrations, localised scuffles between rival protesters cannot be ruled out.

Plan journeys on 4 July accounting for disruption during LGBTQ Pride events in the capital London. The main march will take place from 12.00 (all times local) at Hyde Park Corner before proceeding towards Whitehall, with additional events scheduled across the city centre. High temperatures reaching 28°C (82.4°F) have been forecast on the day. Additionally, these events will coincide with planned London Underground (‘tube’) disruption, including the suspension of the Hammersmith and City lines and the partial closure of the District, Mildmay and DLR lines on 4-5 July. Expect large crowds and heightened security throughout the events.

Expect heightened security and disruption in New York City (New York State) until 4 July linked to a high-profile wedding. American musical artist Taylor Swift and American football player Travis Kelce plan to hold several nuptial events at Madison Square Garden. The authorities have implemented increased security measures and ordered the closure of West 31st Street on 3 July. Further movement restrictions are likely to be imposed at short notice in the vicinity. Reconfirm the status of routes before setting out and follow all official directives.

Expect disruption in Erfurt (Thuringia state) on 4-5 July during a conference of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) political party, as well as counter-demonstrations. The party will hold its federal congress at the city’s Messe Erfurt convention centre on both days. Various trade unions, religious organisations and civil society groups have called for demonstrations during the event to oppose the AfD. The rallies are expected to attract significant attendance. The authorities have warned of road blockades and potential scuffles between rival supporters, as well as between demonstrators and the police. Any associated disturbances would pose incidental risks to bystanders.

Expect localised disruption in the capital Canberra on 4 July during a scheduled demonstration and plan journeys accordingly. Members of the Iranian diaspora community are expected to gather from 13.00 (local time) near the US Embassy. While the event should pass off peacefully, it is likely to be accompanied by a heightened police presence and may disrupt nearby traffic.

Plan journeys in Olievenhoutbosch (Gauteng province) on 4 July bypassing an anti-immigration protest led by the ‘March and March’ movement. Participants will gather at 09.00 (local time) at the ABSA Grounds before marching to the local police station. There is a risk of unruly behaviour during the demonstration, which could prompt the police to forcibly disperse the crowd. During previous rallies, participants have also targeted perceived foreign nationals with acts of intimidation and violence. Any associated disturbances would pose incidental risks to bystanders.

Expect disruption in urban centres, including in the capital Paris, on 4 July during rallies against gender-based violence. Organisers have called the events to demand stronger protections for women and children against sexual and domestic violence. In Paris, the participants will gather from 15.00 (all times local) at Place de la Bastille before marching towards Place de la Nation. While the events will be well-attended and accompanied by a heightened police presence, they should pass off peacefully. Road closures are possible near related rallies.

Expect disruption in Sydney (New South Wales state) on 4 July during a pro-Palestinian demonstration and plan journeys accordingly. Participants will gather from 10.00 (local time) outside Sydney Town Hall. The event will coincide with the Labor Party’s state conference, which will take place at the venue on 4-5 July. Additional security measures are likely at the location during the demonstration and the conference. Scuffles between demonstrators and the police cannot be ruled out.

Expect enhanced security measures and associated disruption during the 2026 World Cup football (soccer) tournament. One match is scheduled at the capital Mexico City’s Estadio Banorte, and other events will be held in Guadalajara (Jalisco state) and Monterrey (Nuevo Leon state) during the remainder of the tournament. Around 100,000 additional security force personnel, mostly concentrated within the host cities, have been deployed. Although the event should proceed without major incidents, there is a heightened risk of unruly protests and opportunistic crime, such as pickpocketing and mugging. The likelihood of organised crime-related incidents is low due to increased security.

Exercise caution and expect disruption to essential services over the coming days following a magnitude 7.2 earthquake near San Felipe and another magnitude 7.5 tremor near Yumare (both Yaracuy state) on 24 June. As of 3 July, at least 2,645 people have been killed and 12,666 others injured. The number of casualties will increase amid recovery operations. Simon Bolivar International Airport (CCS, La Guaira state) remains closed for commercial flights. Acting President Delcy Rodriguez has declared a nationwide state of emergency and La Guaira a disaster zone. Over 800 aftershocks have been reported thus far, and further ones can complicate relief efforts.

Expect further anti-immigration demonstrations in urban centres over the coming weeks. In recent months, movements including March and March and Operation Dudula, alongside some political parties, have organised countrywide demonstrations against illegal immigration. The groups threatened to intensify their efforts if the government did not address alleged immigration issues by 30 June. Exercise caution around such events. Intimidation, harassment and clashes between demonstrators and foreign nationals have been reported during demonstrations, leading to injuries and property damage. Concurrently, attacks targeting foreign nationals have occurred, resulting in at least four deaths. Multiple countries have repatriated nationals amid the unrest.

Monitor developments and follow official directives amid increased volcanic activity at Mount Anak Krakatau (Lampung province). According to local media, the volcano erupted on 2 July, with ash emissions reaching up to 656 feet (200m). Reportedly, the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia (ESDM) raised the volcano’s alert status to level three (second highest on a four-tier scale) following the activity. A two-mile (3km) exclusion zone is in effect around the volcano’s crater, and the authorities have asked the public not to approach the volcano.

Exercise caution over the coming days nationwide due to weather-related disruption. As of 3 July, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has lifted severe warnings for heavy rainfall and thunderstorms in Asom (Assam), Arunachal Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand states and Jammu and Kashmir union territory. Nevertheless, road disruption caused by landslides and flooding is ongoing. Red warnings (highest on a three-tier scale, meaning ‘take action’) for heavy to very heavy rainfall are in remain in place in parts of Maharashtra state until 6 July.

Expect heightened security over the coming days linked to the second round of the presidential election. Electoral authorities have completed the final count, placing right-wing candidate Keiko Fujimori ahead with 50.13% of the vote, compared with 49.86% for left-wing candidate Roberto Sanchez. The National Jury of Elections officially declared Fujimori the winner earlier on 3 July. Fujimori is scheduled to take office on 28 July, though the result remains contested. Sanchez announced that he would not recognise the result, citing perceived electoral misconduct. Anticipate related protests in the capital Lima and other urban centres over the coming days.

Maintain flexible itineraries and follow official directives in Guam and Northern Mariana Islands (both US) during the passage of Typhoon Bavi on 5-6 July. Bavi is located approximately 535 miles (861km) east of Guam. It is forecast to strengthen as it moves westwards and will then pass over the Northern Mariana Islands overnight on 5-6 July. Both territories maintain a Condition of Readiness Level 3 (second lowest in a four-tier scale, meaning destructive winds are possible within 48 hours). Bavi’s trajectory and intensity can change in the coming days.

Expect heightened security and associated disruption in the capital Ankara and urban centres in the coming days linked to the NATO summit. The event will take place on 7-8 July, and political leaders from all member states and media groups will be in attendance. The authorities have banned demonstrations and gatherings in Ankara province through 10 July and established dedicated security zones in connection with the summit. Nevertheless, the Communist Party of Turkiye has announced a protest in Ankara on 5 July (see related alert).

Avoid the area near the A23 Highway in the Stadlau area of the capital Vienna over the coming hours due to an ongoing fire. Local sources indicate that emergency services are currently working to extinguish a large fire in the area. According to the authorities, the A23 is currently closed in both directions, between the Kaisermuhlen interchange and the Stadlau Tunnel. Reportedly, the U2 Stadlau Station is also closed in both directions. Thus far, no injuries have been reported and the cause of the fire is currently unknown.

Expect disruption to metro services in Marseille (Provence-Alpes-Cote d’Azur region) on 5 July during automated rail system testing. Operations on lines M1 and M2 will be suspended between 05.00 and 14.00 (all local times). Replacement bus services will run between La Rose and La Timone, La Timone and La Fourragere, and Geze and Sainte-Marguerite Dromel metro stations. Additional tram services will also operate from 09.00. Further testing is scheduled to take place on 16 August and 13 September.

Exercise increased vigilance in border areas of Tak province over the coming weeks amid spillover risks from an ongoing conflict in Myanmar. Clashes between Myanmar’s security forces and resistance groups near the border on 2 July caused material damage in Maha Wansubdistrict (Mae Sot district, Tak). On 3 July, Thai authorities launched security deployments throughout Maha Wan and indefinitely closed all border crossings between the subdistrict and Myanmar. Thai authorities will maintain a heightened security posture and may implement further short-notice border closures in Mae Sot if the conflict continues to affect border civilian areas.

Expect large gatherings and heightened security measures in Karbala (Karbala governorate) and Najaf (Najaf governorate) on 8 July during funeral processions for Iran’s former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei (in office 1989-2026) (see related alert). A funeral procession will be held in Najaf from Imam Ali Holy Shrine to Thawrat al-Ishreen Square from 06.00 (all times local). Following this, a procession will take place in Karbala from Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis Street to Bayn al-Haramayn from 16.00. Expect significant crowds along the procession routes, where heightened security measures and traffic restrictions will be in place.

Exercise caution and expect weather-related disruption in the coming hours in the Midwest region. The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued an ‘enhanced’ risk warning (middle on a five-tier scale, meaning ‘numerous severe storms are possible’) for severe thunderstorms in parts of eastern Iowa and central and western Nebraska states. Heavy rainfall, strong winds and hail are forecast. Adverse weather conditions are liable to cause short-notice travel disruption, flash flooding and power outages in affected areas.

Expect and avoid further anti-government protests in the coming weeks due to the risk of unrest. Recent protests have been linked to growing public dissatisfaction over the government’s handling of regional military operations (see related alerts). Growing discontent over Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s corruption charges, the military conscription bill and the upcoming elections may trigger further protests. Gatherings during previous such demonstrations have caused traffic disruption and occasionally turned unruly.

Expect disruption if due to travel via Aberdeen International Airport (ABZ, Scotland) from 6 July due to a strike by aviation personnel. Unionised security workers, including baggage handling staff, will observe work stoppages on alternating days linked to a pay dispute. The industrial action is due to continue until 1 August, though may be suspended earlier if an agreement is reached. Passenger processing and baggage-handling services will be significantly disrupted. Flight delays and cancellations are also possible.

Expect disruption in Zadar (Zadar county) on 5 July during a planned rally. Protesters will gather from 18.00 (local time) at Zadar Park in support of former Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) leaders currently on trial in The Hague (Netherlands). The four former KLA leaders have been in Dutch custody since November 2020 for alleged crimes committed during the Kosovo War (1998-99). The Kosovo Specialist Chambers, established in The Hague (Netherlands) to oversee the trials of KLA members, is expected to reach a verdict on 20 July. The protest will likely be well attended and accompanied by a heightened police presence.

Expect heightened security in the coming days amid an enhanced security personnel deployment linked to calls for anti-government protests on 7 July, coinciding with Saba Saba Day. The demonstrations will denounce President Samia Suluhu Hassan and the security forces’ response to protests over the October 2025 general election. Avoid all demonstrations on the day due to credible risk of exposure to violence. The authorities have issued a ban on political rallies and are likely to forcibly disperse any gatherings that occur. As such, incidents of unrest near related demonstrations cannot be ruled out.

Expect heightened security at airports and airstrips in the Papua region in the coming weeks following a fatal attack on a civilian aircraft on 2 July. Members of the outlawed West Papua National Liberation Army (TPNPB) attacked a civilian aircraft at the Balinggama airstrip in Yahukimo regency (Highland Papua province). The group shot and burnt the aircraft, killing the pilot, who was a US national, while all seven passengers survived. The attack highlights the persistent risk of armed violence between TPNPB activity and government security operations across Papua. Such incidents are most likely in the HIGH-risk Central Papua and Highland Papua provinces.