Maintain flexible itineraries and expect disruption over the coming days amid the passage of Tropical Storm Maysak near southern China and north-eastern Vietnam. Maysak (known as ‘Storm No 1’ in Vietnam) made its first landfall in China near Lingshui Li Autonomous County (Hainan province) on 3 July. A second landfall is forecast along the coast between Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (China) and northern Vietnam over the coming hours. The remnants of Maysak are then forecast to track north towards northern Guangxi by 6 July while gradually dissipating. Rail and airport disruption is likely in affected areas. Abide by official directives.
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Expect disruption in Sydney (New South Wales state) on 4 July during a pro-Palestinian demonstration and plan journeys accordingly. Participants will gather from 10.00 (local time) outside Sydney Town Hall. The event will coincide with the Labor Party’s state conference, which will take place at the venue on 4-5 July. Additional security measures are likely at the location during the demonstration and the conference. Scuffles between demonstrators and the police cannot be ruled out.
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Expect localised disruption in the capital Canberra on 4 July during a scheduled demonstration and plan journeys accordingly. Members of the Iranian diaspora community are expected to gather from 13.00 (local time) near the US Embassy. While the event should pass off peacefully, it is likely to be accompanied by a heightened police presence and may disrupt nearby traffic.
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Plan journeys on 4 July in Melbourne (Victoria state) accounting for disruption due to a demonstration and counter-demonstration. Activists will gather from 12.00 (local time) outside the Parliament of Victoria to oppose the Sex Discrimination Amendment bill. An opposing group has called a counter-demonstration from 11.30 at the same location. There is potential for localised scuffles involving participants, counter-protesters and the police. Bystanders would face incidental risks in the event of any such unrest.
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Expect localised disruption in the state capital Kolkata (West Bengal state) and its environs on 4 July during a protest march by supporters of the Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M). CPI-M has announced the march to protest against the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party’s policies affecting street workers and residents of railway settlements. Participants will gather at 13.00 (local time) in Howrah and Sealdah (both West Bengal) before marching to Fairley Place in the state capital. The security forces are liable to use crowd-control measures in the event of unrest, posing incidental risks to bystanders.
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Expect heightened security measures around the Senate complex in Pasay City (Metro Manila) over the coming months due to the impeachment trial of Vice-President Sara Duterte. The Senate (upper house) impeachment court will convene for the trial on 6 July. Around 6,000 security personnel will be deployed alongside active intelligence monitoring. Sections of Diokno Boulevard will be closed from 07.00 to 19.00 (local time) daily. Expect and avoid short-notice demonstrations linked to the impeachment in Metro Manila and in the Duterte stronghold of Davao City (Davao region) on trial dates.
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Exercise caution and expect weather-related disruption in the coming days. The authorities have forecast heavy to very heavy rain across central and southern regions until 6 July and northern and north-eastern regions until 7 July. The interaction between the south-west monsoon and Tropical Storm Maysak near Vietnam's north-eastern border with China (see related alert) is influencing the conditions. Flash flooding and landslides are possible in low-lying, mountainous and riverine areas during periods of heavy rainfall. Adverse weather is likely to cause short-notice disruption to transport and other essential services.
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Regional
Exercise caution, expect disruption over coming days amid heatwave (Revised)
Exercise caution and expect disruption over the coming days amid a heatwave. Some areas have recently experienced temperatures reaching 40°C (104°F) or higher, with similar conditions forecast to persist in the region. Heat warnings are in effect for several countries. Short-notice road closures, disruption to public transport and evacuation orders linked to heatwave-related fires are possible in affected areas. High temperatures may cause power outages or disruption to other essential services.
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France
Urban centres: Expect disruption on 4 July during rallies against gender-based violence
Expect disruption in urban centres, including in the capital Paris, on 4 July during rallies against gender-based violence. Organisers have called the events to demand stronger protections for women and children against sexual and domestic violence. In Paris, the participants will gather from 15.00 (all times local) at Place de la Bastille before marching towards Place de la Nation. While the events will be well-attended and accompanied by a heightened police presence, they should pass off peacefully. Road closures are possible near related rallies.
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Germany
Erfurt: Expect disruption on 4-5 July during political conference, counter-demonstrations
Expect disruption in Erfurt (Thuringia state) on 4-5 July during a conference of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) political party, as well as counter-demonstrations. The party will hold its federal congress at the city’s Messe Erfurt convention centre on both days. Various trade unions, religious organisations and civil society groups have called for demonstrations during the event to oppose the AfD. The rallies are expected to attract significant attendance. The authorities have warned of road blockades and potential scuffles between rival supporters, as well as between demonstrators and the police. Any associated disturbances would pose incidental risks to bystanders.
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Netherlands
Utrecht: Plan journeys on 4 July accounting for disruption on A12 motorway due to protest
Plan journeys on 4 July accounting for disruption on the A12 motorway in Utrecht (Utrecht province) due to a planned protest. Activists affiliated with Extinction Rebellion and a pro-Palestine group intend to block traffic along parts of the motorway from 12.00 (local time). They are demanding an end to fossil fuel subsidies, amongst other related things. There is a heightened risk of police intervention and forcible removal of demonstrators if the motorway blockade turns unruly. Any associated disturbances would pose incidental risks to bystanders.
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Poland
Warsaw: Expect disruption on 4 July during commemorative march for victims of ethnic-based violence
Expect disruption in the capital Warsaw on 4 July during a march to commemorate victims of historic ethnic-based violence in Poland. Participants will gather from 14.00 (local time) at Plac Trzech Krzyzy before marching to the Tomb of the Unknown Soldiervia Charles de Gaulle roundabout. The demonstration comes amid a diplomatic dispute between Poland and Ukraine over the issue, which is likely to drive attendance at the event. The event is likely to be well attended and should pass off peacefully. Road closures and public transport diversions will be in effect along the route.
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Spain
Catalonia autonomous community: Exercise caution, follow official directives amid wildfires
Exercise caution and follow all official directives in Catalonia autonomous community over the coming hours amid wildfires. On 3 July, a wildfire broke out near La Bisbal d’Emporda and is currently uncontained. The authorities closed sections of the GI-660, GIV-6612 roads and the C-66 arterial route in both directions. According to local media, two other wildfires are also burning near Bescano and Vilademuls. Several nearby towns have been issued stay-at-home orders. Firefighting efforts are ongoing in affected areas. Further short-notice stay-at home or evacuation orders and road closures are possible.
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United Kingdom
London: Plan journeys on 4 July accounting for disruption during LGBTQ Pride events
Plan journeys on 4 July accounting for disruption during LGBTQ Pride events in the capital London. The main march will take place from 12.00 (all times local) at Hyde Park Corner before proceeding towards Whitehall, with additional events scheduled across the city centre. High temperatures reaching 28°C (82.4°F) have been forecast on the day. Additionally, these events will coincide with planned London Underground (‘tube’) disruption, including the suspension of the Hammersmith and City lines and the partial closure of the District, Mildmay and DLR lines on 4-5 July. Expect large crowds and heightened security throughout the events.
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Plan journeys in Liverpool (Merseyside county) on 4 July bypassing an anti-immigration protest march and counterdemonstration. Anti-immigration protesters will gather from 12.00 (local time) near a pub on County Road in the Walton area before marching to the city centre. A counterdemonstration has reportedly been organised. It expected to follow a similar route, though exact details have yet to be confirmed. The local authorities have introduced designated protest areas and a dispersal zone, granting the police additional powers to prevent antisocial behaviour. While the police will likely enforce measures to separate the demonstrations, localised scuffles between rival protesters cannot be ruled out.
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Algeria
Monitor developments linked to 2 July parliamentary election
Monitor developments linked to the parliamentary election. Voting took place on 2 July to elect members of the People’s National Assembly (lower house of parliament). Heightened security measures were implemented around polling stations in the capital Algiers. No major incidents were reported. While we expect the security environment to remain broadly stable in the coming days, political rallies may take place when election results are released. Any associated gatherings should be avoided as a precaution.
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Iran
Expect large gatherings, heightened security on 4-9 July linked to funeral of former supreme leader (Revised)
Expect large gatherings and heightened security measures on 4-9 July during the state funeral of Iran’s former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei (in office 1989-2026). Funeral processions are planned in the capital Tehran, as well as other cities. Related events are expected to attract significant crowds, with state organisers reportedly anticipating more than 15m attendees in the capital. While events are likely to remain peaceful, there will be extensive road closures, transport disruption and other logistical impacts. There is also a latent risk of terrorist attacks. Although the security forces have generally contained militant threats, domestic groups, including Islamic State (IS), retain intent and limited capability to attack.
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Türkiye
Istanbul province: Exercise caution, expect weather-related disruption over coming hours
Exercise caution and expect weather-related disruption in Istanbul province over the coming hours. The Istanbul Disaster Coordination Centre (AKOM) has warned of heavy rainfall on 4 July. Districts affected by adverse weather include Bakirkoy, Besiktas, Beykoz, Esenler, Eyupsultan, Fatih, Kadikoy, Kagithane, Sultangazi, Umraniye and Uskudar. Heavy rainfall may cause landslides, power outages and short-notice transport disruption. Reconfirm the status of routes prior to setting out and allow additional time to complete journeys.
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