China | Overview

Expect travel disruption during the Labour Day Golden Week period (1-5 May) in China, Hong Kong and Macau (both China SAR). A public holiday will be observed during the Golden Week period in China. Increased demand for transport and significant congestion at transport hubs, tourist sites and markets will occur during this period. A rise in international and domestic air and rail travel will result in large crowds and potential delays at airports and administrative border crossings between Shenzhen (Guangdong province) and Hong Kong. Expect heightened security and associated disruption in major urban centres.

Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency brings significant changes in the superpower’s foreign policy in Asia and the Pacific. Organisations must proactively prepare for considerable alterations to the operating environments due to Trump’s policies towards China, tariff wars and regional geopolitical tensions. Degradations and improvements with respect to risks to exposed personnel and organisations are both plausible outcomes. This Insight Report uses structured analysis to provide predictive judgments by examining the administration’s ideological doctrines and likely foreign policy objectives as well as their interplay with regional drivers of insecurity. The report concludes with recommendations for risk managers to prepare for and respond to the shifting landscape.